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Index: Education / Subcategory: K-12

Dropout Rates

Date posted: 08/27/2008

By Colorado law, a dropout is a juvenile who leaves school before the completion of a high school diploma or equivalent. A student who transfers to another public, private, or home school program is not considered a dropout. Additionally, a student is not a dropout if he/she:

Dropout data reflects the entire student population from grades 7 through 12.

During the 2003-04 school year, the Colorado Department of Education (CDE) began collecting year-end data based for each student using the State Assigned Student Identifiers (SASID) system. The new system eliminates errors such as double counting students who dropped out and later re-enrolled. With the capability to track individual students, the CDE expects dropout rates to increase until the first cycle of the new system is complete in 2007. Please see Additional Information for further discussion of graduation rates and the SASID system.

What this chart shows: Dropout Rates in Colorado & Larimer County School Districts, 2000-01 to 2007-08

Dropout Rates in Colorado & Larimer County School Districts, 2000-01 to 2007-08

Data Source: Colorado Department of Education

See data table

What these data tell us:

In general, Larimer County School Districts had lower dropout rates than the Colorado average. In 2004, all districts and the state showed a marked increase in rates due to the implementation of the SASID system, this seemed to particularly affect the Poudre District. However, in 2005 Larimer County School District's dropout rate began to decline, generally, while the overall Colorado rate continued to increase.

Park School District class sizes are small, thereby showing a larger, although not significant, effect in change in percentage if one or two students drop out of school. For example, in 2005, eight students dropped out of Park School District producing a dropout rate of 1.1%, Poudre and Thompson districts would need about 100 students to dropout for a rate of this size.

What this chart shows: Larimer County School Districts Dropout and Student Population Percentages & Numbers by Ethnicity/Race, 2007-08

Larimer County School Districts Dropout and Student Population Percentages & Numbers by Ethnicity/Race, 2007-08

Data Source: Colorado Department of Education

See data table

What these data tell us:

As mentioned above, small student samples cause dropout rates to fluctuate more widely than those based on larger student samples. American Indian, Asian, and Black students are underrepresented in Larimer County student populations, when compared to Hispanic and White students.

Hispanic students comprised 13% of the student population in Larimer County School Districts in 2005. However, in the same year, nearly 30% of students dropping out of school were Hispanic. In Colorado, the Colorado Closing the Achievement Gap Commission (a commission of the Colorado Department of Education) has been working on this issue for six years. An interim report by the Commission discusses this gap and strategies to close it. An August 2005 report, Understanding Colorado's Achievement Gap, from the Bell Policy Center provides further explanation of this gap and potential solutions.

Additional Information:

The new Colorado system of tracking individual students (instead of using aggregate numbers) produces more accurate accounting of students' progress through the school system. The new method allows the Colorado Department of Education to do post-collection (student count) follow-up on individual students. This process allows districts to properly adjust student exit status by reclassifying students who have been misidentified as dropouts, expulsions, or transfers. The result is a true account of students and their achievement from eighth through twelfth grade. For example, 2004 dropout rates for Colorado originally counted 11,302 students. After post collection follow-up, 3,619 additional students were determined to be dropouts. Also, 27,846 students were documented as transferring to another district in the original count, but 9,504 of these students were not reported as enrolled in any other districts prior to the end of the school year. The new system eliminates these errors. The majority of these students were reclassified as dropouts after the C.D.E. contacted the districts and the districts conducted further investigation. Some of these students transferred out of state, to private school or entered into home schooling situations.

On Compass -

Outside Compass -

Standards or Targets

Data Tables:

Dropout Numbers/Rates - Larimer County School Districts & Colorado

Colorado

Number

Dropout Rate

2000

10,789

3.0%

2001

10,718

2.9%

2002

9,722

2.6%

2003

9,068

2.4%

2004

14,795

3.8%

2005

16,757

4.2%

2006

18,031

4.5%

2007

18,027

4.4%

Park

Number

Dropout Rate

2000

22

3.1%

2001

10

1.4%

2002

3

0.4%

2003

3

0.4%

2004

14

2.0%

2005

8

1.1%

2006

11

1.6%

2007

6

0.9%

Poudre

Number

Dropout Rate

2000

289

2.5%

2001

239

1.9%

2002

197

1.4%

2003

223

1.8%

2004

737

5.7%

2005

644

5.0%

2006

380

2.9%

2007

337

2.5%

Thompson

Number

Dropout Rate

2000

206

2.7%

2001

215

2.8%

2002

206

2.5%

2003

174

2.2%

2004

234

2.9%

2005

171

2.1%

2006

190

2.3%

2007

243

2.5%

See chart

Dropouts and Student Population Totals and Percentage by Race/Ethnicity

Larimer County School Districts - 2007-08

Race/Ethnicity

Dropouts

Student Population

American Indian

13

2.2%

248

1.1%

Asian

4

0.7%

476

2.1%

Black

11

1.9%

340

1.5%

Hispanic

172

29.7%

3072

13.8%

White

386

65.9%

18107

81.4%

See chart